ArchitectingTheFuture2008

Architecting The Future 2008 - ATWG & ISDC 2008 Programming Sessions

Welcome to the Architecting The Future 2008 wiki.

This page is intended to support the planning of the ATWG Spring 2008 Meeting and the Architecting The Future session for the ISDC 2008.

Architecting The Future 2008 - ATWG & ISDC 2008 Programming Sessions

News

The wiki is now accessible
- In order to maximize the value of the session there is a compelling need for a collaborative environment for participants to develop the presentation plan.
- You should be able to edit this page. Security is by currently by revision control/rollback. Click on edit below and look at the notes to see how simple it is.
- If you create a wiki ID you can subscribe to this change and receive notice of any changes.
- The presentation is now available at Upload new attachment "Lunar" Settlement Architecture Planning Barnhard.pdf

Session Purpose(s)

Introduce and elababorate on the construct of the Architecting the Future - Making the best of intentions real!
Provide an engaging entry point into the discussion of architecting the future from an engineering perspective
Demonstrate how the potential synergy between disciplines, programs, agencies, and governments might impact the outcome.
Frame the endeavors as elements of our transition to a spacefaring society not just a set piece of current agency policy.

Session Contacts

Gary Barnhard - Session Chair - barnhard@barnhard.com

Advanced Technology Working Group 117th Meeting Current Agenda

Location: Pan American Room, Hilton Hotel, Washington, DC
Date: Wednesday, May 28th 2008
Theme: Architecting the Future - Lunar Settlement Architecture Planning: Making the Best of Intentions Real

REVISED ATWG AGENDA ITEM

Wednesday ATWG last session
Architecting the Future - Making the Best of Intentions Real
90 min Supporting exploration with the bleeding edge of technology
- Gary Barnhard - Introduction & Moderator/Facilitator
  1. LunaWAN - Could the Lunar Wide Area Network be a Commercial-of-the-shelf project?
  2. Lunar Power & Light Company - If we could build power, will they come?
  3. In Situ Resource Utilization (ISRU) - The path from cool ideas to a franchise?
  4. Open Source Controls - Programming when your life really does depend on it .
- Central question: Can we make the tech real?

ISDC Agenda Item Session

Refreshed with ATWG input in conjunction with Sherry's programming efforts.
The gotcha is my schedule which is appended below.
We may have to fit it into an alternate time block if I am going to take point on it.
It is possible I might be able to hornswaggle someone else to do so. Let's discuss.
60-120 min (time can be adjusted as necessary)
Title: Architecting the Future - Supporting exploration with the bleeding edge of technology
- Gary Barnhard - Introduction & Moderator/Facilitator
  1. LunaWAN - Could the Lunar Wide Area Network be a Commercial-of-the-shelf project?
  2. Lunar Power & Light Company - If we could build power, will they come?
  3. In Situ Resource Utilization (ISRU) - The path from cool ideas to a franchise?
  4. Open Source Controls - Programming when your life really does depend on it .
- Central question: If we make the tech real can we live with it?

Additional Resources

Jim Schier - NASA Space Operations Mission Directorate
- Future Communication Architecture Paper http://www.xisp.net/mmbmaterial/SpaceCommArchAIAApaper31017.pdf
Dr. Paul Werbos - National Science Foundation
- Brief on Strategic Thinking Regarding Space Settlements http://www.xisp.net/mmbmaterial/SomeStrategicThinkingForSpaceSettlement05.pdf
- Presentation on Energy Futures http://www.xisp.net/mmbmaterial/energy_strategy.ppt
Gary Barnhard - Barnhard Associates, LLC
- Article on Factoring the http://www.xisp.net/mmbmaterial/FactoringTheFuture.pdf

Additional Resources

Thoughts & Intentions with this ongoing series

The intention of the session is to layout and discuss the key systems engineering challenges (technical, organizational, and scientific) associated with architecting the future as we would like to see it come to pass (i.e., our evolution to a spacefaring society in earnest).
The objective in my mind being to establish a clear connection between where we are technically and where we think we need to go by discipline area. In so doing I think the session would be accessible and of value to both attendees that have a general interest in learning more about architecting our future as a spacefaring society as well as sufficiently engaging to spur the interest of attendees that may chose to become professionally involved in some capacity.
The intention of the session, and this introductory paper is to layout and discuss the key systems engineering challenges (technical, organizational, and scientific) associated with architecting the future as we would like to see it come to pass (i.e., our evolution to a spacefaring society in earnest). This paper examines Phil Culbertson's Systems Engineering conundrum of "How do you manage the systems engineering of a project when it is not yet understood what is truely required to accomplish it?" and the germane corallary "You can not change the size of an airlock in software!". The paper examines the conceptual evolution necessary to allow a transition from a merely a "Permanent presence" in space to "Communities" of humanity in space. An outline of the key drivers: Technical, Organizational, and Scientific is offered along with an examination of the actuators cast in terms of Technological push and/or Conceptual pull.

Source Material

Additional references and other source material provided by participants can be found below:

Material from ISDC 2005 Architecting the Future Session

Recent quote from NASA Administrator Mike Griffin - With regard to the present time, Griffin said: "In the 21st century for America to go forward and remain and for our culture and our values - and the values of western civilization to go forward, it is necessary that America be the pre-eminent space faring nation. I don't know when it will happen, or exactly how it will happen, but I know it will happen, that one day there will be as many people living off the Earth as living on it - and that may be a thousand or two thousand yeas in the future. But when that occurs, it is my belief that we want their ideals, their culture, their thoughts to be those of western civilization because I believe, that for all of its flaws, that the civilization that we have evolved in western society is the best we've seen so far in human history. I think it needs to be improved upon - but not replaced. If we are not the preeminent spacefaring nation it will not survive because the future for human kind is in space not on Earth. We can only do our small part today."
1. Gary Barnhard - Barnhard Associates, LLC
  - Article on Factoring the http://www.xisp.net/mmbmaterial/FactoringTheFuture.pdf
2. Jim Schier - NASA Space Operations Mission Directorate
  - Future Communication Architecture Paper http://www.xisp.net/mmbmaterial/SpaceCommArchAIAApaper31017.pdf
  - Outline for Jim Schier's Presentation ISDC 2005
    - 1. Architecting the Future - How, Where, What, but first: Why?
    - 1.1. SE - branch of Engineering that treats problems holistically, i.e., lust to dust
    - 1.1.1. Lust: passionate or overwhelming desire or craving
    - 1.1.2. SE seeks to identify the needs and desires of the group seeking solution(s), so what are these desires? That is, why do we want to go to space and what do we want to do when we get there?
    - 1.1.3. Top Reasons Why We Want To Go To Space & How We Are Addressing Them
    - 1.1.3.1. A Renewed Spirit of Discovery: The fundamental goal of this vision is to advance U.S. scientific, security, and economic interests through a robust space exploration program. (Reasons 1-3)
    - 1.1.3.1.1. Advance U.S. scientific interests
    - 1.1.3.1.1.1. Near Earth missions
    - 1.1.3.1.1.1.1. Robotic missions: EOS, RLEP
    - 1.1.3.1.1.1.2. Human missions: ISS
    - 1.1.3.1.1.2. Deep space missions - all robotic
    - 1.1.3.1.1.2.1. Structure & Evolution of Universe Theme
    - 1.1.3.1.1.2.2. Astronomical Search for Origins Theme
    - 1.1.3.1.1.2.3. Solar System Exploration Theme
    - 1.1.3.1.1.2.4. Sun-Earth Connection Theme
    - 1.1.3.1.1.2.5. Dynamic Earth System
    - 1.1.3.1.2. Advance U.S. security interests
    - 1.1.3.1.2.1. Areas of joint interest between NASA & defense & security
    - 1.1.3.1.2.2. Operationally Responsive Spacelift -> Space Based Range
    - 1.1.3.1.3. Advance U.S. economic interests
    - 1.1.3.1.3.1. Aerospace industry resulting from direct USG contracting has large positive trade balance for US exports - maintain leadership
    - 1.1.3.1.3.2. High end ELV business has declined forcing Boeing & Lockheed-Martin to combine their Delta-IV & Atlas V lines
    - 1.1.3.1.3.3. High cost of access to space has forestalled development of commercial space business - until now. Recent advances:
    - 1.1.3.1.3.3.1. Simpler & safer rocket engines
    - 1.1.3.1.3.3.2. Reusable vehicles with short turnaround
    - 1.1.3.1.3.3.3. Low cost approach, e.g., Air-launched vehicle
    - 1.1.3.1.3.3.4. Minimal training & mild flight environment
    - 1.1.3.1.3.3.5. X Prize Competitors as examples
    - 1.1.3.1.3.4. How could USG promote commercial space development?
    - 1.1.3.1.3.4.1. Aviation analogy - 1925 Air Mail Act & 1926 Air Commerce Act - encouraged est. aircraft & air mail companies
    - 1.1.3.1.3.4.2. Space counterpart - identify products or services needed by USG that could be encouraged by appropriate legislation with USG acting as anchor customer to reduce entry risk
    - 1.1.3.1.3.4.2.1. Space Mail/Cargo
    - 1.1.3.1.3.4.2.2. Cargo Tug
    - 1.1.3.1.3.4.2.3. Autonomous Prospecting Robots
    - 1.1.3.1.3.4.2.4. Lunar Construction Equipment
    - 1.1.3.1.3.4.2.5. Autonomous Maintenance Robot
    - 1.1.3.1.3.4.2.6. Telecom Services - data relay
    - 1.1.3.1.3.4.3. NASA Centennial Challenges
    - 1.1.3.2. Vastly reduce the cost of further space exploration
    - 1.1.3.3. Lift national Spirit
    - 1.1.3.3.1. Existence of exciting & bold initiatives to inspire young people
    - 1.1.3.3.2. Education programs ¡V NASA budgeting $167M in FY06
    - 1.1.3.3.3. Smithsonian Institute¡¦s National Air & Space Museum
    - 1.1.3.3.4. Challenger Centers, science centers, & space-related museums
    - 1.1.3.4. Explore
    - 1.1.3.4.1. Aldridge Commission: ...engage the public in a journey that will shape the course of human destiny
    - 1.1.3.4.2. ESMD, ESS, CEV...
    - 1.1.3.5. Discover & Predict
    - 1.1.3.5.1. For both exploration & discovery:
    - 1.1.3.5.1.1. Comm & Nav infrastructure - architecture for 2030
    - 1.1.3.5.1.2. International Interoperability - spectrum, standards, mgmt
    - 1.1.3.5.2. Opportunities for commercial insertion:
    - 1.1.3.5.2.1. Telecom
    - 1.1.3.5.2.2. Transportation
    - 1.1.3.5.2.3. Consumables: Propellant, Oxidizer, O2, H2O
    - 1.1.3.5.2.4. Power
    - 1.1.3.5.2.5. Sensor information: Imagery, Space Weather
    - 1.1.3.6. National Prestige
    - 1.1.3.7. Use Non-terrestrial Resources for Terrestrial Benefit
    - 1.1.3.7.1. Materials Processing
    - 1.1.3.7.2. Space Solar Power (SSP)
    - 1.1.3.7.3. Lunar ISRU
    - 1.1.3.7.4. Martian ISRU
    - 1.1.3.8. Entertainment: Have Fun, Vacation
    - 1.1.3.8.1. Sub-orbital space tourism: Virgin Galactic & others;
    - 1.1.3.8.2. Orbital space tourism in 15-20 years? - Rutan vision
    - 1.1.3.9. Colonize: Expand human presence into new frontier - Not started yet
    - 1.1.3.10. Escape (from oppressive government, natural & manmade disasters, bad economic conditions, religious persecution) - Not started yet
    - 1.1.3.11. Survive (long term species survival) - Threat detection started
    - 1.1.4. Cultural & Management Principles
    - 1.1.4.1. KISS
    - 1.1.4.2. Integrity
    - 1.1.5. Affordability
    - 1.1.5.1. Affordability Level (AL) Scale
    - 1.1.5.2. Identify Key Systems needed to raise the AL of Human Mission to Mars
    - 2. Summary Scorecard showing status of efforts in addressing Top Reasons For Space